Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

  • The Timberwolves are -2.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 27-13 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 21-19 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+2.5 -105O 229.5 -110+125
Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 -115U 229.5 -110-150

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Timberwolves, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 60.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 78 games (+20.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+17.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+18.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+13.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-13 (+12.7 Units / 28.22% ROI).

  • 28-13 against the Moneyline (+14.6 Units / 16.37% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.19% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -23.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 21-19 (+0.1 Units / 0.22% ROI).

  • 30-11 against the Moneyline (+16.85 Units / 15.08% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.22% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Under for game total points (-4.05 Units / -8.99% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 games at home (-13.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 56 games (-11.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 38 games at home (-11.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 78 games (-30.55 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-15.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 43 games (-12.00 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .086

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .172

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are 8-2 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Timberwolves are 25-10 (.714) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Timberwolves are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have made 13.2 three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 23-5 (.821) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 20

  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (286/679) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 52% (922/1,771) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (267/651) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (5,207/10,620) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,141 rebounds/123 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,171 rebounds/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

The Thunder have allowed 19.8 offensive rebounds per game (810 rebounds/41 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (246 blocks/41 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,514 rebounds/41 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have blocked 246 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.