Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 26

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ESPN2

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 59-34 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 47-46 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 59 of their last 97 games (+21.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 82 games (+20.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 66 games (+26.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 66 games (+20.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+15.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 59-34 (+21.6 Units / 20.24% ROI).

  • 78-19 against the Moneyline (+18.7 Units / 3.58% ROI)
  • 53-43 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 5.34% ROI)
  • 43-53 against the Under for game total points (-15.3 Units / -14.34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 47-46 (-3.65 Units / -3.49% ROI).

  • 58-37 against the Moneyline (-13.95 Units / -4.09% ROI)
  • 51-44 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 2.49% ROI)
  • 44-51 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -11.58% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-23.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 98 games (-20.70 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 48 games at home (-19.32 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 48 games at home (-19.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (-21.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (-20.16 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 95 games (-20.12 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Thunder are 30-3 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Timberwolves are 64-25 (.719) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 52-16 (.765) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694

The Timberwolves were 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,107/2,886) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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