- The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | NSBA
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 27-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 23-23 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -9.5 -110 | O 223.5 -110 | -450 |
| Golden State Warriors | +9.5 -110 | U 223.5 -110 | +350 |
Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Warriors.
Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 91 games (+20.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 away games (+16.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 away games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-16 (+9.4 Units / 18.58% ROI).
- 37-9 against the Moneyline (+12.1 Units / 5.37% ROI)
- 24-21 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.78% ROI)
- 21-24 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -10.67% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 23-23 (-2.4 Units / -4.73% ROI).
- 23-23 against the Moneyline (-13.25 Units / -13.72% ROI)
- 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.85% ROI)
- 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.75% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 71 games (-27.81 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (-27.45 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.00 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-17.05 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-16.98 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 81 games (-13.80 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 90 games (-12.73 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 68 games (-12.47 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Thunder are 16-2 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Thunder are 35-5 (.875) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640
The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Thunder are 13-6 (.684) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Warriors are 8-1 (.889) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Warriors are undefeated (5-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746
The Warriors were 9-13 (.409) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Warriors are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder are shooting 83% from the free throw line (720/872) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 72% from the free throw line (652/906) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 1.21 points per shot (732 points/603 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.3 steals per game (509 steals/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 42% (798/1,882) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,203 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,649/3,833) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (399 steals/46 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,679 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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