Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Memphis, TN, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 37-40 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 40-38 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.5% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+23.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+19.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 away games (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-40 (-7.05 Units / -8.1% ROI).

  • 46-33 against the Moneyline (-22.65 Units / -9.41% ROI)
  • 43-36 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 3.91% ROI)
  • 36-43 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 40-38 (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI).

  • 47-32 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 2.21% ROI)
  • 44-35 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 6.33% ROI)
  • 35-44 against the Under for game total points (-13.4 Units / -15.42% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-41.00 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 47 games (-26.20 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.97 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-18.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 89 games (-30.70 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 92 games (-23.05 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 49 away games (-22.10 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 away games (-18.60 Units / -35% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 51-16 (.761) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 51-16 (.761) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694

The Timberwolves were 23-10 (.697) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Grizzlies were 12-27 (.308) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,085/2,833) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.5 fast break points per game (1,050 points/161 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 42% (1,577/3,708) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves stole the ball 647 times last season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (885 blocks/161 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (915/2,706) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,917 rebounds/79 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (700 steals/79 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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