Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

  • The Grizzlies are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | FDSM | truTV | Max

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Memphis, TN, USA.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 16-24 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 28-14 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+5.5 -110O 234.5 -105+170
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 -110U 234.5 -115-210

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Monday‘s game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 59 of their last 93 games (+19.93 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 88 games (+9.72 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 82 games (+20.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 16-24 (-10.45 Units / -22.59% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (-14.8 Units / -13.96% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 28-14 (+12.6 Units / 27.33% ROI).

  • 27-15 against the Moneyline (+5.35 Units / 6.22% ROI)
  • 27-15 against the Over for game total points (+10.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 15-27 against the Under for game total points (-14.7 Units / -31.82% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 57 games (-28.82 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 58 games (-16.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-15.67 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 99 games (-24.40 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-21.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-20.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-17.05 Units / -15% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 3-12 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have made 14.2 three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 35-14 (.714) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 24-9 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies are 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

The Grizzlies are 6-34 (.150) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have shot 39% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies are 25-35 (.417) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 19.4 points in the paint per game (814 points/42 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 110.1 points per game (4,623 points/42 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Timberwolves have 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Timberwolves shot 48% (3,383/6,973) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies are shooting 26% from three (38/147) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (695 blocks/124 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,198/7,114) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 41% (370/903) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (391 steals/42 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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