Timberwolves vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

  • The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSN | FDSE

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Hawks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 11-16 against the spread, while the Hawks are 11-18 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-3.5 -110O 225.5 -115-165
Atlanta Hawks +3.5 -110U 225.5 -105+140

Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 78.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Hawks.

Hawks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 78 games (+22.28 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+9.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (+14.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.93 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 11-16 (-6.65 Units / -22.35% ROI).

  • 14-13 against the Moneyline (-12.85 Units / -17.13% ROI)
  • 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-18 (-8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI).

  • 14-15 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 18.51% ROI)
  • 19-10 against the Over for game total points (+8 Units / 25.08% ROI)
  • 10-19 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 69 games (-40.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (-22.45 Units / -8% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Timberwolves are 8-2 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 119.6 points per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 23-8 (.742) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 26-3 (.897) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Hawks were 2-20 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

The Hawks were 5-12 (.294) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Hawks were 13-21 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hawks are 29-32 (.475) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (492 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks averaged 15.4 second chance points per game (633 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks averaged 7.7 second chance points per game (628 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,453 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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