Timberwolves vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

  • The Knicks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSN | MSG

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York, NY, USA.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Knicks Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 15-23 against the spread, while the Knicks are 20-20 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+4.5 -110O 218.5 -110+155
New York Knicks -4.5 -110U 218.5 -110-190

Knicks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 69.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Knicks.

Knicks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 59 of their last 91 games (+22.28 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+18.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+14.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+12.81 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 15-23 (-10.35 Units / -23.5% ROI).

  • 21-19 against the Moneyline (-15.05 Units / -14.47% ROI)
  • 20-20 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 20-20 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 20-20 (-2 Units / -4.33% ROI).

  • 27-15 against the Moneyline (-8.3 Units / -5.56% ROI)
  • 24-17 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 11.48% ROI)
  • 17-24 against the Under for game total points (-9.45 Units / -20.43% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 97 games (-32.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 88 games (-26.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-26.53 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 70 games (-25.55 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-24.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-37.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-25.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 97 games (-24.65 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (-20.10 Units / -15% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Timberwolves were 25-12 (.676) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Timberwolves are 26-5 (.839) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Timberwolves are 6-11 (.353) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Knicks are 17-6 (.739) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Knicks are 21-4 (.840) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Knicks were undefeated (10-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Knicks are 38-21 (.644) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 14.7 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.4 fast break points per game (538 points/40 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (630 turnovers/40 games) this season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (706 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Knicks have averaged 8.3 second chance points per game (1,554 points/188 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,143 assists/ 559 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Knicks have averaged 15.8 offensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/42 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,391 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (689 blocks/122 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (164 blocks/42 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/42 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (779 blocks/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.