Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 30

  • The Lakers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | Max | truTV | SPEC

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Lakers Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 42-42 against the spread, while the Lakers are 46-38 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+5.5 -105O 210.5 -110+190
Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -115U 210.5 -110-235

Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Lakers.

Lakers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 57 games (+25.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 57 games (+19.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.60 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+18.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.34 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-42 (-4.25 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • 52-34 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -5.28% ROI)
  • 46-40 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • 40-46 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -11.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 46-38 (+4.2 Units / 4.44% ROI).

  • 51-35 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 1.05% ROI)
  • 43-43 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 43-43 against the Under for game total points (-4.35 Units / -4.6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 86 games (-34.63 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 84 games (-26.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.37 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 96 games (-22.50 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 57 games (-21.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-20.67 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 88 games (-18.57 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 away games (-17.80 Units / -31% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 48-25 (.658) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Timberwolves were 43-10 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Timberwolves are 64-25 (.719) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.9 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 42-23 (.646) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Lakers are 14-7 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Lakers are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,107/2,886) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (435 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Lakers have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (914 points/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (835 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (494 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,927 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,238 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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