Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

  • The Lakers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | FDN+ | NBAt

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Lakers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 26-31 against the spread, while the Lakers are 30-25 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+6.5 -110O 229.5 -115+200
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 -110U 229.5 -105-250

Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 75.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Lakers.

Lakers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 58 of their last 94 games (+16.13 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 92 games (+10.72 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+16.12 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 85 games (+14.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.27 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 26-31 (-8.15 Units / -12.55% ROI).

  • 32-27 against the Moneyline (-16.65 Units / -11.44% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 30-25 (+2.5 Units / 4.06% ROI).

  • 35-21 against the Moneyline (+5.6 Units / 4.53% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.96% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.75 Units / -1.22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 64 games (-23.27 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-21.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.52 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-17.22 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 59 games (-16.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 99 games (-40.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 99 games (-28.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-27.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 69 games (-24.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656

The Timberwolves are 30-22 (.577) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Timberwolves were 17-6 (.739) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves were 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656

The Lakers are 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Lakers are undefeated (7-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .741

The Lakers were 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (829 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (337 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.7

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves shot 48% (3,383/6,973) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (676 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 10.7 second chance points per game (729 points/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves allowed 103.7 points per game (4,253 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,897 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% (318/638) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Lakers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,012 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,944 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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