Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | SPEC | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Lakers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 31-32 against the spread, while the Lakers are 30-36 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -105O 222.5 -110+110
Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 -115U 222.5 -110-135

Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Lakers.

Lakers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+20.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 74 games (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+21.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-32 (-4.3 Units / -6.08% ROI).

  • 44-20 against the Moneyline (+3.1 Units / 1.51% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -5.96% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.05 Units / -2.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 30-36 (-9.65 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • 36-30 against the Moneyline (+8.5 Units / 6.69% ROI)
  • 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.76% ROI)
  • 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.55 Units / -11.77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 42 games (-20.85 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 99 games (-20.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 49 games (-19.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-19.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-29.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 77 games (-18.05 Units / -7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 58 games (-16.50 Units / -26% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves are 7-3 (.700) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 34-9 (.791) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 117.7 points per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Lakers are 15-4 (.789) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .671

The Lakers are 19-10 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

Injury Report: Lakers vs. TimberwolvesSunday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (2,190/4,465) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 fast break points per game (1,108 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (269 points/27 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (302 blocks/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have 426 steals this season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.