Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

  • The Timberwolves are -2.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDSN | KFAA

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Mavericks Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 17-24 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 20-22 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-2.5 -115O 216.5 -110-145
Dallas Mavericks +2.5 -105U 216.5 -110+120

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 61.6% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 59 of their last 94 games (+18.73 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 away games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+18.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+17.28 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+15.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 98 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 17-24 (-9.45 Units / -19.96% ROI).

  • 22-21 against the Moneyline (-15.8 Units / -14.77% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 20-22 (-4.2 Units / -8.88% ROI).

  • 23-20 against the Moneyline (-2.1 Units / -2.05% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -11.21% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-34.75 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.37 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-26.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 93 games (-24.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 44 games at home (-21.57 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 99 games (-23.90 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-22.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-18.05 Units / -16% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Timberwolves are 20-14 (.588) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498

The Timberwolves were 21-2 (.913) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Timberwolves are 14-4 (.778) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Mavericks are winless (0-9) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .185

The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 10-4 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 19.4 points in the paint per game (836 points/43 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.4 fast break points per game (575 points/43 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Mavericks averaged 1.31 points per shot (9,772 points/7,436 shots) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,503 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (855 blocks/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have blocked 668 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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