Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | FDN+

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 33-37 against the spread, while the Pacers are 30-37 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Indiana Pacers U

Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pacers.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 69.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games (+23.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+18.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+26.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+16.94 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.67 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 33-37 (-7.75 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 41-31 against the Moneyline (-24.25 Units / -11.61% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 30-37 (-10.7 Units / -13.88% ROI).

  • 41-29 against the Moneyline (+10.1 Units / 6.45% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.56% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.01% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 62 games (-25.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 95 games (-23.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.44 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-21.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-17.47 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 82 games (-32.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-28.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-21.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 43 games (-20.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.20 Units / -20% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Timberwolves are 50-16 (.758) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Timberwolves are 4-9 (.308) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Timberwolves are 6-13 (.316) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Pacers are 30-13 (.698) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

The Pacers are 41-12 (.774) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pacers are 53-27 (.662) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (957 points/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (2,130/5,561) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.9 fast break points per game (1,988 points/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,242 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (363 blocks/70 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Pacers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,434 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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