- The Pacers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Watch the game on BSN | BSIN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 30-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 33-28 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +1.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | +100 |
Indiana Pacers | -1.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | -120 |
Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pacers.
Pacers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-31 (-4.2 Units / -6.13% ROI).
- 43-19 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 1.55% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.01% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-1.95 Units / -2.86% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.13% ROI).
- 35-29 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -3.16% ROI)
- 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.05 Units / 1.49% ROI)
- 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.25 Units / -10.31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 53 games (-25.30 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.75 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 37 games (-19.30 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-18.55 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-29.45 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.90 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.25 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 75 games (-18.00 Units / -7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-16.40 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Indiana Pacers
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Timberwolves are 26-3 (.897) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 51% this season — worst in the NBA.
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
The Timberwolves are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Timberwolves were 16-2 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Pacers were 1-3 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Pacers were 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
The Pacers are 15-7 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
Injury Report: Pacers vs. Timberwolves – Thursday‘s Game, Mar. 7
- Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
- Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are shooting 40% from three (363/918) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (336/857) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,698 assists/ 745 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (899/2,111) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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