Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 7

  • The Timberwolves are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDN+ | GCSE

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-20 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 14-22 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 77.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 68.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 55 of their last 86 games (+19.43 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 81 games (+9.17 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+7.33 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-20 (-9.05 Units / -23.48% ROI).

  • 18-17 against the Moneyline (-14.2 Units / -16.37% ROI)
  • 17-18 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI)
  • 18-17 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 14-22 (-10.2 Units / -25.76% ROI).

  • 7-29 against the Moneyline (-23.3 Units / -53.5% ROI)
  • 20-15 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 8.84% ROI)
  • 15-20 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -17.68% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 51 games (-33.60 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-28.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.72 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-22.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-38.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-24.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 92 games (-23.80 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-23.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-21.35 Units / -19% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves are 10-3 (.769) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 117.5 points per game this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 14-4 (.778) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pelicans are 1-5 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pelicans are 2-14 (.125) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 4-24 (.143) when allowing 110 or more points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .281

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.2 fast break points per game (463 points/35 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (1,479 points/117 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 46% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 48% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 48% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,205 rebounds/117 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.2 steals per game (545 steals/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Pelicans have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,163 rebounds/36 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,600 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,087 rebounds/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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