Timberwolves vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2024, 9:01 AM
  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSN | TSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Raptors Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 5-9 against the spread, while the Raptors are 10-5 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-7.5 -110O 225.5 -105-300
Toronto Raptors +7.5 -110U 225.5 -115+240

Raptors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Raptors.

Raptors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 62 of their last 97 games (+22.78 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 5-9 (-4.95 Units / -32.04% ROI).

  • 8-6 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -15.79% ROI)
  • 9-5 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 5-9 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-12 against the Moneyline (-5.6 Units / -37.33% ROI)
  • 9-6 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 6-9 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 81 games (-34.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.36 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 84 games (-16.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-15.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-14.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-40.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-24.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-23.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-23.35 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Timberwolves are 8-1 (.889) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 119.5 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 20-5 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Timberwolves are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Raptors are 9-43 (.173) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Raptors are winless (0-4) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (1,258/3,260) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.3 fast break points per game (603 points/96 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (3,290 points/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,545 points/179 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Raptors have averaged 9.7 fast break points per game (1,733 points/179 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Raptors have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,829 points/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,444 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (65 blocks/14 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,521 steals/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,903 rebounds/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (777 steals/89 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.