- The Rockets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | FDN+
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Timberwolves vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 12-17 against the spread, while the Rockets are 19-11 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | O | ||
| Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Rockets.
Rockets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 80 games (+22.08 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games (+25.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 46 games (+18.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games (+12.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 12-17 (-6.75 Units / -21.13% ROI).
- 15-14 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -16.38% ROI)
- 12-17 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -21% ROI)
- 17-12 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 19-11 (+6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI).
- 21-9 against the Moneyline (+3.25 Units / 4.68% ROI)
- 15-14 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI)
- 14-15 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -7.29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-19.42 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.95 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-15.55 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.55 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (-37.85 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 96 games (-25.50 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.40 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.85 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 86 games (-22.30 Units / -8% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Timberwolves are 14-3 (.824) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Timberwolves were 45-23 (.662) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Timberwolves were 23-10 (.697) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Timberwolves are 30-8 (.789) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Rockets are 10-3 (.769) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Rockets are 16-5 (.762) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 22-11 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535
The Rockets are 5-52 (.088) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.6 fast break points per game (394 points/29 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (731 assists/ 458 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (682 points/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 29% from three (151/520) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (34/144) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets are shooting 40% (154/384) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (356 blocks/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3
The Timberwolves stole the ball 647 times last season — 6th most among NBA teams
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 50% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Rockets have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (3,083 points/2,572 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27
The Rockets have allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (1,301 points/111 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7
The Rockets have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,104 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
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