Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 21

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSN | SCHN | ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Houston, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 24-30 against the spread, while the Rockets are 29-26 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Rockets.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 91 games (+17.48 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 89 games (+9.87 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games (+13.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+12.83 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 24-30 (-9.05 Units / -14.68% ROI).

  • 31-25 against the Moneyline (-19.25 Units / -13.5% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.14% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-26 (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI).

  • 34-21 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -7.1% ROI)
  • 28-26 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.99% ROI)
  • 26-28 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -7.78% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games at home (-18.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.22 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-17.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 64 games (-16.35 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 66 games (-27.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 99 games (-27.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 96 games (-24.55 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 98 games (-19.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-17.07 Units / -15% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Timberwolves are 10-4 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 3-14 (.176) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Rockets are 8-28 (.222) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best in the NBA.

The Rockets are 31-13 (.705) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586

The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (829 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (337 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.7

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (831/2,203) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets are shooting 28% from three (77/278) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Rockets have averaged 18.2 second chance points per game (999 points/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed 103.7 points per game (4,253 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 8.9 steals per game (487 steals/55 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,126 steals/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.