Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 15

  • The Timberwolves are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSW | FDN+

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Spurs Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 10-14 against the spread, while the Spurs are 11-14 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-4.5 -110O 214.5 -110-185
San Antonio Spurs +4.5 -110U 214.5 -110+150

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Spurs.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 10-14 (-5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI).

  • 13-11 against the Moneyline (-10.6 Units / -15.1% ROI)
  • 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
  • 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 11-14 (-4.45 Units / -16.15% ROI).

  • 13-12 against the Moneyline (+4.25 Units / 12.35% ROI)
  • 14-11 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 6.93% ROI)
  • 11-14 against the Under for game total points (-4.47 Units / -16.21% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves were 23-10 (.697) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Timberwolves are 32-11 (.744) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Spurs are 4-68 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .303

The Spurs are 5-30 (.143) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.8 fast break points per game (308 points/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,324 points/106 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.4 fast break points per game (681 points/106 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves shot 48% (3,383/6,973) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (21,134 points/17,126 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs have averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (307 points/25 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (349 blocks/53 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,828 rebounds/107 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs blocked 520 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (1,173/3,094) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.