- The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | BSN+
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Timberwolves vs Suns Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 42-41 against the spread, while the Suns are 35-47 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +4.5 -105 | O 208.5 -110 | +170 |
Phoenix Suns | -4.5 -115 | U 208.5 -110 | -210 |
Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Suns.
Suns vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 away games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 69 games (+24.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-41 (-3.2 Units / -3.46% ROI).
- 58-26 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 2.81% ROI)
- 43-41 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)
- 41-43 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -6.82% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-47 (-16.7 Units / -18.07% ROI).
- 49-35 against the Moneyline (-10.65 Units / -5.09% ROI)
- 37-46 against the Over for game total points (-13.65 Units / -14.76% ROI)
- 46-37 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 5.74% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 83 games (-38.10 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 90 games (-36.55 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-22.20 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.05 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-20.75 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (-28.55 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.20 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.25 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Timberwolves are winless (0-4) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .116
The Timberwolves are 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Timberwolves are 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Timberwolves are 43-10 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Suns are 46-22 (.676) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.
The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Suns are 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Injury Report: Suns vs. Timberwolves – Friday‘s Game, Apr. 26
- Eric Gordon (Phoenix Suns): Illness, Game Time Decision
- Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Timberwolves averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (1,258 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (923 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (469 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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