Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | KTVK | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Suns Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 43-41 against the spread, while the Suns are 35-48 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -115O 212.5 -105-105
Phoenix Suns -1.5 -105U 212.5 -115-115

Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Suns.

Suns vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 70 games (+22.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-41 (-2.2 Units / -2.35% ROI).

  • 59-26 against the Moneyline (+10.35 Units / 3.52% ROI)
  • 44-41 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.18% ROI)
  • 41-44 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -7.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-48 (-17.8 Units / -19.04% ROI).

  • 49-36 against the Moneyline (-13.1 Units / -6.19% ROI)
  • 38-46 against the Over for game total points (-12.65 Units / -13.52% ROI)
  • 46-38 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 4.49% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 84 games (-37.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 91 games (-35.55 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-24.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-20.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 76 games (-26.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 59 games (-23.40 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.80 Units / -26% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves were 17-23 (.425) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Timberwolves are 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns are 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 14.2 turnovers per game this season — 9th-highest in the NBA.

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Injury Report: Suns vs. TimberwolvesSunday‘s Game, Apr. 28

  • Eric Gordon (Phoenix Suns): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 46.9 points in the paint per game (3,846 points/82 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have 647 steals this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,837 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (923 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.