Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | KTVK | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Suns Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 39-36 against the spread, while the Suns are 32-42 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+4.5 -110O 216.5 -110+155
Phoenix Suns -4.5 -110U 216.5 -110-190

Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Suns.

Suns vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+18.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 39-36 (-0.7 Units / -0.84% ROI).

  • 53-23 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 2.55% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 32-42 (-14.2 Units / -16.99% ROI).

  • 45-31 against the Moneyline (-7.05 Units / -3.68% ROI)
  • 34-41 against the Over for game total points (-11.15 Units / -13.33% ROI)
  • 41-34 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 4.31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 90 games (-41.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 86 games (-29.75 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-22.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-19.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 56 games (-18.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-22.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (-21.10 Units / -12% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are 40-10 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 118.5 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Timberwolves are 30-3 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Suns are 20-3 (.870) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Suns are 16-9 (.640) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Suns vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (343/803) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (942/2,436) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (430 points/37 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,145 rebounds/75 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,861 points/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (871 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns are shooting 49% (3,203/6,467) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,726 rebounds/75 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (449 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (3,816 points/3,254 shots) at home this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,732 rebounds/75 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (890 blocks/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32


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