Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 31

  • The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDOK | FDN+ | KSBI

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-18 against the spread, while the Thunder are 19-11 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 68.3% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 82 games (+19.78 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 away games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 45 games at home (+20.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+13.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+9.50 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-18 (-6.85 Units / -20.06% ROI).

  • 17-14 against the Moneyline (-10.7 Units / -13.23% ROI)
  • 14-17 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI)
  • 17-14 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 19-11 (+6.9 Units / 19.6% ROI).

  • 26-6 against the Moneyline (+9.75 Units / 6.91% ROI)
  • 14-18 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 18-14 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.23 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 88 games (-15.35 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-13.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 90 games (-13.55 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 73 games (-35.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-24.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (-20.30 Units / -7% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Timberwolves were 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 8-1 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 51.2 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 19-3 (.864) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (691 points/56 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (614 points/31 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 44.1 points in the paint per game (1,368 points/31 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 109.3 points per game (3,389 points/31 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (364 turnovers/31 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Thunder have a 21% free throw rate (595 free throw attempts/2,871 field goal attempts) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (571 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 steals per game (365 steals/31 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,059 steals/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (548 steals/57 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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