- The Thunder are -12.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | FDSN | FDOK
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 25-31 against the spread, while the Thunder are 33-20 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +11.5 -105 | O 228.5 -110 | +500 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -11.5 -115 | U 228.5 -110 | -700 |
Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.
Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 93 games (+15.13 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 away games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 91 games (+9.72 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 88 games (+19.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 71 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games (+13.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-31 (-9.15 Units / -14.33% ROI).
- 31-27 against the Moneyline (-21.25 Units / -14.7% ROI)
- 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)
- 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 33-20 (+11 Units / 17.54% ROI).
- 46-11 against the Moneyline (+12.7 Units / 4% ROI)
- 31-25 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 5.58% ROI)
- 25-31 against the Under for game total points (-9.1 Units / -14.51% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-20.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games at home (-17.75 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 38 games (-15.45 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.17 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games (-29.30 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 100 games (-28.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 98 games (-26.55 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 98 games (-17.50 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 100 games (-17.15 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Thunder are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .754
The Thunder are 40-8 (.833) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438
The Thunder are 26-9 (.743) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (829 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 20.8 points in the paint per game (1,166 points/56 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Thunder had a TS% of 54% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (590 steals/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,284 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (313/979) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
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