Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 48-46 against the spread, while the Thunder are 59-35 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 67 games (+27.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 67 games (+21.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 83 games (+21.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 59 of their last 98 games (+20.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 48-46 (-2.65 Units / -2.51% ROI).

  • 58-38 against the Moneyline (-14.95 Units / -4.37% ROI)
  • 52-44 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 3.41% ROI)
  • 44-52 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -12.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 59-35 (+20.5 Units / 19.02% ROI).

  • 79-19 against the Moneyline (+19.7 Units / 3.76% ROI)
  • 54-43 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 6.22% ROI)
  • 43-54 against the Under for game total points (-16.4 Units / -15.21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-25.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (-22.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-21.27 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 94 games (-20.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 67 games (-24.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 97 games (-20.40 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-19.72 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 67 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Timberwolves are 17-3 (.850) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Timberwolves are 93-48 (.660) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder are 53-13 (.803) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Thunder are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.6 fast break points per game (1,112 points/82 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,107/2,886) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 38% from three (515/1,359) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder have averaged 17.2 points per game (844 points/49 games) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (792 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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