Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -9.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 28-25 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 25-28 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-9.5 -115O 215.5 -110-500
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 -105U 215.5 -110+360

Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 82.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+20.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 28-25 (+0.45 Units / 0.76% ROI).

  • 38-16 against the Moneyline (+4.7 Units / 2.97% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.22% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.55 Units / -2.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 25-28 (-5.7 Units / -9.82% ROI).

  • 15-38 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -0.53% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.54% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Under for game total points (+2.65 Units / 4.55% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 52 games (-19.85 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-18.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 54 games (-16.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 59 games (-16.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 43 games (-15.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-29.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 games (-16.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 44 away games (-14.50 Units / -29% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Timberwolves are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Timberwolves were 5-8 (.385) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Timberwolves were 14-6 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Timberwolves are 13-4 (.765) when they win the turnover margin this season — T-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game this season — T-3rd-highest in the NBA.

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Trail Blazers are 2-12 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have shot 39% from three this season — T-2nd-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 9-18 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Trail Blazers were 7-17 (.292) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesThursday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Wendell Moore Jr. (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Out
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (643 points/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (327/830) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,822 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (616 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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