Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction & Odds for NBA Christmas Day

Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves is defended by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks during the third quarter in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals at American Airlines Center on May 28, 2024 in Dallas, Texas.
(Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
  • The Mavericks are 4.5-point favorites on Christmas Day.
  • The Timberwolves-Mavericks over/under is 224.5.
  • Tipoff is 2:30 p.m. ET in American Airlines Center on ESPN.

The second game of the NBAโ€™s five-game Christmas Day slate is a Western Conference finals rematch between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks, which will take place on Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET in American Airlines Center.

After defeating Minnesota in last yearโ€™s WCF, Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite for this yearโ€™s holiday showdown. This will be Anthony Edwardsโ€™ first appearance on Christmas Day.

Here is a look at the latest Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA odds and my best bet for Christmas Day:

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Dec. 25

  • Point spread: Mavericks -4.5
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves +160/Mavericks -185
  • Total: 224.5

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction – Friday, Dec. 25

Based on the latest NBA betting lines, my favorite Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prediction is the under (224.5) in a game that should feature more defense and intensity than most of the other games on Christmas Day.

The Timberwolves were the best defensive team in basketball last year. They have ranked fifth in defensive rating this year, but some of that is due to their personnel changes in the offseason. This roster has started to find its footing again, ranking first in defensive rating in December.

Dallas, meanwhile, is 10th in defensive rating this year.

Iโ€™m crediting both defenses on a holiday that has typically been more favorable for under bettors in recent years.

Prediction: Under 224.5 (-115)

When Was the Last Time the Timberwolves Played on Christmas Day?

The Timberwolves last played on Christmas Day in 2017, recording a 121-104 win over the Los Angeles Lakers.

Minnesota is 1-1 all-time on Dec. 25.

Mavericksโ€™ Record on Christmas Day

The Mavericks have played seven games on Christmas Day, posting an overall record of 4-3.

Dallas has won back-to-back games on this holiday.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.