- The Warriors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | FDSN | NSBA
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Warriors Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 8-13 against the spread, while the Warriors are 13-8 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -1.5 -105 | O 219.5 -110 | -115 |
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 -115 | U 219.5 -110 | -105 |
Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Warriors.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 72 games (+24.73 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.83 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.33 Units / 11% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+14.03 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 8-13 (-6.35 Units / -27.43% ROI).
- 11-10 against the Moneyline (-11.5 Units / -18.03% ROI)
- 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 13-8 (+4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI).
- 13-8 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -6.84% ROI)
- 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (-24.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-16.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-15.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 58 games (-15.30 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-43.10 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-24.50 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-22.70 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 61 games (-21.35 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves were 17-6 (.739) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Timberwolves were 45-23 (.662) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Timberwolves were 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .653
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Warriors are winless (0-14) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .110
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Timberwolves averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (492 points/41 games) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (325/464) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,708 rebounds/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (592 blocks/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (814 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,832 rebounds/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (189 steals/21 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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