- The Warriors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSN | NSBA
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Timberwolves vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 9-13 against the spread, while the Warriors are 13-9 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | O | ||
Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Warriors.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 73 games (+23.63 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.33 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.68 Units / 23% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+15.03 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 9-13 (-5.35 Units / -22.06% ROI).
- 12-10 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -16.15% ROI)
- 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
- 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 13-9 (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).
- 13-9 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -8.68% ROI)
- 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
- 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (-25.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.85 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-16.75 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 59 games (-16.45 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 64 games (-40.35 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 94 games (-25.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-24.50 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.70 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 99 games (-21.55 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Timberwolves are 31-11 (.738) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Timberwolves are 55-30 (.647) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
The Timberwolves were 21-2 (.913) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Timberwolves are 26-14 (.650) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534
The Warriors are 28-17 (.622) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537
The Warriors are 28-3 (.903) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .824
The Warriors are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (628 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Timberwolves shot 48% (3,383/6,973) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (340/481) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Warriors have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have allowed 11.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,747 rebounds/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (598 blocks/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,864 rebounds/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (846 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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