Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Grizzlies are -1.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 25-32 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 29-30 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+1.5 -115O 207.5 -110-105
Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 -105U 207.5 -110-115

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+15.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 86 games (+20.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+18.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 34 games at home (+16.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 34 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 25-32 (-10.05 Units / -16.11% ROI).

  • 15-42 against the Moneyline (-4.9 Units / -8.01% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.91% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Under for game total points (+2.45 Units / 3.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 29-30 (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI).

  • 20-39 against the Moneyline (+0.45 Units / 0.65% ROI)
  • 26-33 against the Over for game total points (-10.3 Units / -15.87% ROI)
  • 33-26 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 6.78% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-24.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 87 games (-20.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-16.95 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 56 games (-22.15 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-20.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 58 games (-18.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games (-17.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-16.70 Units / -24% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Trail Blazers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have made 13.5 three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 18-25 (.419) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 32-13 (.711) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Grizzlies were 12-7 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Grizzlies were 19-4 (.826) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,748 points/2,254 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 103.9 points per game (2,598 points/25 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.7

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (240 blocks/52 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,835 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies have 417 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.