Trail Blazers vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Kings are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | KATU

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Trail Blazers vs Kings Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 2-1 against the spread, while the Kings are 0-2 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+12.5 -105O 230.5 -110+550
Sacramento Kings -12.5 -115U 230.5 -110-800

Kings vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Kings.

Kings vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Trail Blazers have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 1.67% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Kings have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 2-0 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-2 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 61 games (-31.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 69 games (-30.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-23.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-15.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-14.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 37 games (-22.20 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 away games (-16.85 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 28 away games (-14.35 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 39 away games (-13.75 Units / -31% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Trail Blazers were 3-13 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Kings are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Kings were 26-18 (.591) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Injury Report: Kings vs. Trail BlazersMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported
  • Portland Trail Blazers – No Injuries Reported

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 104.7 points per game (4,292 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Trail Blazers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,894 assists/ 1,249 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,508 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (538/1,343) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.