- The Mavericks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | KATU
The Portland Trail Blazers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 15-12 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 16-11 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Portland Trail Blazers | +10.5 -105 | O 230.5 -115 | +450 |
Dallas Mavericks | -10.5 -115 | U 230.5 -105 | -650 |
Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 78.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 69.6% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 65 games (+23.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 48 games at home (+20.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 83 games (+20.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 70 games (+15.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.13 Units / 19% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 15-12 (+1.8 Units / 5.85% ROI).
- 9-19 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 17.65% ROI)
- 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI)
- 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 16-11 (+3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI).
- 18-10 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 5.03% ROI)
- 15-13 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI)
- 13-15 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-34.62 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-26.05 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.05 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 36 games at home (-19.97 Units / -48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 83 games (-35.45 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-23.37 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 away games (-19.70 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 70 games (-18.98 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Trail Blazers are 1-5 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Trail Blazers are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Trail Blazers are 10-46 (.179) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Mavericks are 9-4 (.692) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Mavericks are 20-1 (.952) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Mavericks are 13-5 (.722) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586
The Mavericks are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Mavericks have made 14.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Mavericks had 22.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (874 blocks/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (432 blocks/95 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,285 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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