- The Nuggets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on KUNP | ALT | KATU | KUSA
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 31-22 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 28-25 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Portland Trail Blazers | +11.5 -110 | O 232.5 -110 | +450 |
| Denver Nuggets | -11.5 -110 | U 232.5 -110 | -625 |
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 43 games (+20.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 66 games (+19.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 84 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games (+14.06 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+21.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+19.47 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-22 (+6.75 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- 23-31 against the Moneyline (+18.35 Units / 32.59% ROI)
- 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.23% ROI)
- 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.69% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI).
- 35-19 against the Moneyline (+1.05 Units / 0.73% ROI)
- 33-21 against the Over for game total points (+9.9 Units / 16.67% ROI)
- 21-33 against the Under for game total points (-15.3 Units / -25.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 69 games (-28.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games (-28.05 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 76 games (-23.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.85 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-20.50 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 82 games (-32.20 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.22 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.20 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.55 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.50 Units / -33% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers are 4-33 (.108) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308
The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Trail Blazers are 16-56 (.222) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435
The Trail Blazers were 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets are 15-7 (.682) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 16.0 turnovers per game this season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 26-8 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 51.7 rebounds/game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,025 points/5,963 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 31.7 points in the paint per game (1,714 points/54 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 29.4 points in the paint per game (3,992 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Nuggets have averaged 20.4 fast break points per game (1,101 points/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,444 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (715 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,999 rebounds/54 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
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