Trail Blazers vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Wizards are -2.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.

The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Wizards Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 36-39 against the spread, while the Wizards are 35-40 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+2.5 -110O 224.5 -105+120
Washington Wizards -2.5 -110U 224.5 -115-145

Wizards vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Wizards.

Wizards vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 games (+13.40 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 36-39 (-6.9 Units / -8.25% ROI).

  • 20-56 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -16.32% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.75 Units / -4.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 35-40 (-9 Units / -10.63% ROI).

  • 15-62 against the Moneyline (-26.4 Units / -32.37% ROI)
  • 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI)
  • 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -6.97% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 71 games (-15.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 23 games (-15.40 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 24 games (-13.80 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-19.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 28 games (-18.45 Units / -63% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Trail Blazers are 1-13 (.071) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .405

The Trail Blazers are 2-12 (.143) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .533

The Trail Blazers are 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .359

The Trail Blazers are 2-17 (.105) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Wizards are 3-36 (.077) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Wizards are 13-62 (.173) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Wizards are 1-37 (.026) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Wizards are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .533

Injury Report: Wizards vs. Trail BlazersFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,732 assists/ 1,145 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,428/3,236) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,037 points/6,692 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (720 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,156 points/76 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Wizards have averaged 8.9 fast break points per game (680 points/76 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (866 points/76 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,419 rebounds/75 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,157 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (332 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.7 second chance points per game (671 points/38 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,581 rebounds/76 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,438 points/76 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.