- The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | BSWI | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Bucks Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 18-20 against the spread, while the Bucks are 16-21 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +13.5 -110 | O 240.5 -105 | +675 |
Milwaukee Bucks | -13.5 -110 | U 240.5 -115 | -1100 |
Bucks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Warriors and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Bucks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 79 games (+10.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-20 (-4 Units / -9.58% ROI).
- 18-20 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -6.92% ROI)
- 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.57% ROI)
- 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.35 Units / -24.73% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-21 (-7.2 Units / -17.12% ROI).
- 26-12 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -0.6% ROI)
- 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.53% ROI)
- 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.25 Units / -24.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.05 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.95 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 62 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (-19.75 Units / -9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 91 games (-25.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.30 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-24.00 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (-22.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 51 games (-19.95 Units / -36% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634
The Warriors were 2-12 (.143) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223
The Warriors are 10-2 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .673
The Warriors are 4-10 (.286) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Bucks are 12-3 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Warriors – Saturday‘s Game, Jan. 13
- Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
- Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
- Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
- Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,392 points/1,651 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Bucks have averaged 62.9 points per game (2,392 points/38 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.5
The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (136 blocks/38 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (459 blocks/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Warriors have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,356 rebounds/38 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,670 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
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