Warriors vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 06, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NBSB | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Celtics Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 6-1 against the spread, while the Celtics are 5-3 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+6.5 -115O 229.5 -110+200
Boston Celtics -6.5 -105U 229.5 -110-250

Celtics vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Celtics.

Celtics vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 away games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 away games (+17.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 57 games (+30.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 98 games (+29.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 63 of their last 96 games (+24.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 52 games (+21.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 90 games (+18.31 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • 6-1 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 14.82% ROI)
  • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 7-1 against the Moneyline (+4.35 Units / 10.48% ROI)
  • 3-5 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
  • 5-3 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 100 games (-43.35 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 74 games (-30.85 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 44 games (-26.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-20.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-17.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 60 games (-16.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 47 games (-13.90 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Warriors were 26-6 (.812) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Warriors were 17-7 (.708) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics are 43-9 (.827) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Injury Report: Celtics vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 6

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics had a TS% of 55% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics made 1,351 three-pointers last season — most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,286 rebounds/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.