- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDSE | NSBA | NBAt
The Golden State Warriors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 36-33 against the spread, while the Hawks are 33-36 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 72.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Hawks.
Hawks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 64 games (+17.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 games (+14.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-33 (-0.4 Units / -0.52% ROI).
- 41-29 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -5.07% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 33-36 (-6.6 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 33-36 against the Moneyline (+9.55 Units / 9.42% ROI)
- 40-28 against the Over for game total points (+9.2 Units / 12.12% ROI)
- 28-40 against the Under for game total points (-16 Units / -21.08% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-31.45 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-25.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.48 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 83 games (-15.45 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 60 games (-32.05 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.67 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-21.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.40 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 53 games (-18.55 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Warriors are 20-4 (.833) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Warriors are 9-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.
The Warriors are 27-12 (.692) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
The Warriors are 27-17 (.614) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Hawks are 5-12 (.294) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Hawks are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439
The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Hawks are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.8 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Warriors have averaged 1.17 points per shot (3,815 points/3,263 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
The Warriors averaged 117.8 points per game (9,657 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Hawks made 13.7 three-pointers per game last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Hawks have 23.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,508 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (638 steals/70 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (347 blocks/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 9.9 steals per game (682 steals/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (4,938 points/3,512 shots) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
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