- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Golden State Warriors visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 36-34 against the spread, while the Heat are 32-38 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Heat.
Heat vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+14.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-34 (-1.5 Units / -1.92% ROI).
- 41-30 against the Moneyline (-10.65 Units / -5.8% ROI)
- 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
- 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 32-38 (-9.8 Units / -12.54% ROI).
- 30-41 against the Moneyline (-20.25 Units / -17.01% ROI)
- 37-34 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI)
- 34-37 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -8.58% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 games (-23.60 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.27 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-20.43 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 33 games (-20.05 Units / -52% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-17.20 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 61 games (-33.40 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-22.30 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.92 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 54 games (-19.75 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (-19.25 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567
The Warriors are 20-5 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Warriors are undefeated (9-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .750
The Warriors are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Heat are undefeated (16-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat are 33-4 (.892) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
The Heat are 5-13 (.278) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Warriors averaged 6.2 fast break points per game (506 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (8,092 points/153 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,061 points/888 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (828 points/71 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (646 steals/71 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (351 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (271 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (265 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (551 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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