Warriors vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NSBA | Max

The Golden State Warriors visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York, NY, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Knicks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 33-28 against the spread, while the Knicks are 27-31 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
New York Knicks U

Knicks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Tuesday‘s game with 75.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Knicks.

Knicks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 56.3% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+14.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 33-28 (+2.1 Units / 3.13% ROI).

  • 33-28 against the Moneyline (-11.4 Units / -7.87% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 27-31 (-7.1 Units / -10.76% ROI).

  • 40-20 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -2.27% ROI)
  • 34-25 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 9.86% ROI)
  • 25-34 against the Under for game total points (-12.45 Units / -18.85% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-35.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 83 games (-32.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 88 games (-28.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 87 games (-28.48 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (-30.76 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.87 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (-19.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-19.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-18.65 Units / -19% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751

The Warriors are 7-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Knicks have forced 13.6 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-lowest in the NBA.

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Knicks are 4-25 (.138) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

The Knicks are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Knicks were 6-4 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Knicks were 21-6 (.778) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,206/2,824) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 16.3 second chance points per game (1,339 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,643 assists/ 787 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Knicks are shooting 37% from three (762/2,047) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Knicks have averaged 117.6 points per game (7,058 points/60 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,154 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (677 blocks/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (418/1,057) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (274 blocks/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (812/2,162) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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