- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 38-35 against the spread, while the Lakers are 41-32 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | O | ||
Los Angeles Lakers | U |
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Lakers.
Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.2% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 83 games (+20.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+14.62 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.72 Units / 14% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 38-35 (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI).
- 44-31 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -4.63% ROI)
- 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
- 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 41-32 (+5.8 Units / 7.03% ROI).
- 46-29 against the Moneyline (+2.15 Units / 1.35% ROI)
- 37-38 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)
- 38-37 against the Under for game total points (-2.75 Units / -3.33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.85 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.82 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.77 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.77 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 65 games (-39.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-22.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 59 games (-22.25 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.27 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 58 games (-20.00 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .748
The Warriors are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .817
The Warriors are 36-10 (.783) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Warriors are 30-14 (.682) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090
The Lakers are 28-15 (.651) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Lakers are 48-24 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Lakers are 82-53 (.607) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors are shooting 43% (404/942) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (880 points/80 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (435 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Lakers have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (794 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have 692 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (359 blocks/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (342 blocks/75 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,694 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (566 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
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