- The Lakers are -7.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 25-25 against the spread, while the Lakers are 25-22 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +6.5 -105 | O 222.5 -110 | +230 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -6.5 -115 | U 222.5 -110 | -295 |
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Lakers.
Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.6% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 away games (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+21.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+18.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.12 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-25 (-2.6 Units / -4.72% ROI).
- 25-25 against the Moneyline (-12.5 Units / -12.17% ROI)
- 24-26 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.36% ROI)
- 26-24 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.73% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 25-22 (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 29-19 against the Moneyline (+9.45 Units / 9.94% ROI)
- 23-25 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.53% ROI)
- 25-23 against the Under for game total points (-0.35 Units / -0.66% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.62 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-15.97 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-15.10 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 57 games (-13.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.82 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (-28.86 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 34 games (-20.90 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 51 games (-20.70 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-20.12 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
The Warriors are 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639
The Warriors are 34-4 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .825
The Warriors are 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are 14-5 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616
The Lakers are 13-3 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Lakers are 40-20 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Lakers are 21-11 (.656) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 72% from the free throw line (735/1,020) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,020 free throw attempts/4,572 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (633 points/130 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (680 points/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 431 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have allowed a TS% of 54% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49%
The Lakers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (489 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (343 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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