- The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | KFAA | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).
The Warriors vs Mavericks Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 27-26 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-26 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | -5.5 -118 | O 232.5 -105 | -225 |
| Dallas Mavericks | +5.5 -102 | U 232.5 -115 | +185 |
Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.5% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+17.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 95 games (+16.48 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 96 games (+15.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 27-26 (-1.7 Units / -2.91% ROI).
- 27-26 against the Moneyline (-11.5 Units / -10.57% ROI)
- 27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)
- 26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-26 (-2.6 Units / -4.38% ROI).
- 28-26 against the Moneyline (+4.35 Units / 3.62% ROI)
- 29-25 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)
- 25-29 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games at home (-29.15 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 49 games at home (-25.40 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-23.12 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games at home (-18.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 49 games at home (-18.20 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-30.81 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 54 games (-20.85 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 37 games (-19.90 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 67 games (-19.27 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Warriors are 12-3 (.800) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .520
The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .756
The Warriors are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Mavericks are 15-1 (.938) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .754
The Mavericks are 50-15 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 16-5 (.762) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631
The Mavericks are 39-13 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 73% from the free throw line (802/1,105) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Warriors have averaged 29.5 assists per game (5,520 assists/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.1
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have 23.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Mavericks are shooting 37% from three (705/1,898) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have 463 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (640 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (327 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (372 blocks/67 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (404/1,027) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
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