- The Pacers are -7.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | FDIN | WTHR
The Golden State Warriors visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Pacers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 19-18 against the spread, while the Pacers are 17-19 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +7.5 -110 | O 224.5 -110 | +240 |
| Indiana Pacers | -7.5 -110 | U 224.5 -110 | -300 |
Pacers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Friday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Pacers.
Pacers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 away games (+15.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+12.08 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 100 games (+16.09 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+13.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 19-18 (-0.9 Units / -2.21% ROI).
- 19-18 against the Moneyline (-12.25 Units / -16.54% ROI)
- 16-21 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI)
- 21-16 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.35% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 17-19 (-3.9 Units / -9.31% ROI).
- 20-18 against the Moneyline (-2.8 Units / -3.78% ROI)
- 21-15 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 10.77% ROI)
- 15-21 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -19.38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.60 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 93 games (-30.17 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 93 games (-21.25 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-20.00 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.35 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (-21.16 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-18.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 74 games (-16.55 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors are 15-5 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 116.0 points per game this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.
The Warriors are 2-9 (.182) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have shot 37% from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA.
The Warriors are 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA.
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Pacers are 4-1 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563
The Pacers are 32-10 (.762) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Pacers are 42-23 (.646) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536
The Pacers are 5-12 (.294) when turning the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (526/741) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,984 points/1,737 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Warriors have 20.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,352 rebounds/37 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (329 steals/37 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,370 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8
The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4
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