- The Rockets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 204.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is 204.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 43-39 against the spread, while the Rockets are 43-40 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +3.5 -110 | O 204.5 -110 | +135 |
| Houston Rockets | -3.5 -110 | U 204.5 -110 | -160 |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.69 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.97 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 27 games (+16.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+15.73 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-39 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 50-34 against the Moneyline (-22.2 Units / -9.08% ROI)
- 42-42 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 42-42 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-40 (-1 Units / -1.1% ROI).
- 52-31 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -2.06% ROI)
- 44-38 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.41% ROI)
- 38-44 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -11.29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games at home (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.53 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.50 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (-44.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (-30.45 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-20.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.37 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 33-3 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773
The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 34-28 (.548) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 42-27 (.609) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets were 19-3 (.864) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Rockets are 36-19 (.655) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Rockets were 11-34 (.244) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
The Rockets are 36-13 (.735) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,650/3,805) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,906 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,343 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,328 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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