- The Rockets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 205.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | SCHN
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is 205.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 44-43 against the spread, while the Rockets are 47-41 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +2.5 -110 | O 205.5 -105 | +115 |
| Houston Rockets | -2.5 -110 | U 205.5 -115 | -140 |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.69 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 32 games (+21.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.92 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.18 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 44-43 (-3.4 Units / -3.47% ROI).
- 52-37 against the Moneyline (-24.6 Units / -9.77% ROI)
- 45-44 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -3.47% ROI)
- 44-45 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -5.62% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 47-41 (+1.9 Units / 1.96% ROI).
- 55-33 against the Moneyline (-2.35 Units / -1.07% ROI)
- 47-40 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 3.1% ROI)
- 40-47 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.55 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-22.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (-19.05 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.98 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-16.90 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-51.50 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 games (-32.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-23.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 73 games (-21.60 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 21-13 (.618) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Warriors are 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592
The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 10-30 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets were 19-3 (.864) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Rockets are 16-6 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors have averaged 3.7 second chance points per game (222 points/60 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Warriors are shooting 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,906 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have 689 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have 1,328 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
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