Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | FDSW

The Golden State Warriors visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 36-35 against the spread, while the Spurs are 33-40 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Spurs.

Spurs vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+21.92 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+14.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-35 (-2.6 Units / -3.23% ROI).

  • 42-31 against the Moneyline (-11.5 Units / -5.82% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 33-40 (-11 Units / -13.69% ROI).

  • 31-42 against the Moneyline (-8.85 Units / -8.74% ROI)
  • 41-31 against the Over for game total points (+6.9 Units / 8.59% ROI)
  • 31-41 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -17.56% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 36 games at home (-19.60 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-18.95 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.88 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-17.11 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-41.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-24.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 57 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.27 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 56 games (-22.00 Units / -34% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors are 32-2 (.941) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Warriors are 45-25 (.643) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Warriors are 28-18 (.609) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 6-44 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

The Spurs are 6-44 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,458/3,395) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Warriors averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,637 free throw attempts/7,437 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Spurs averaged 12.7 second chance points per game (1,038 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Spurs averaged 112.1 points per game (9,192 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,599 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (664 steals/73 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,555 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (422 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (486 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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