Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 23, 2024, 9:01 AM
  • The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | FDSW

The Golden State Warriors visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Warriors vs Spurs Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 10-5 against the spread, while the Spurs are 8-8 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-2.5 -115O 225.5 -105-150
San Antonio Spurs +2.5 -105U 225.5 -115+125

Spurs vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Spurs.

Spurs vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 away games (+19.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.54 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 66 games (+14.43 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 65 games (+23.89 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games (+22.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 12-3 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 23.24% ROI)
  • 9-6 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 6-9 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 8-8 against the Moneyline (+2.15 Units / 9.56% ROI)
  • 8-8 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 8-8 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-23.63 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.02 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 83 games (-18.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-16.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.92 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-14.78 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 41 away games (-12.65 Units / -27% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors are 26-2 (.929) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .111

The Warriors are 11-1 (.917) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs are 8-35 (.186) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Spurs are 4-30 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-best in the NBA.

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 4-66 (.057) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (243/347) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have made 15.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,646 free throw attempts/16,296 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Warriors have made 15.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (20,223 points/16,402 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs are shooting 41% (215/520) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Spurs averaged 12.7 second chance points per game (1,038 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (583 rebounds/15 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Warriors have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Warriors have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,601 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (591 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (626 blocks/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs blocked 520 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.