Warriors vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 10

  • The Thunder are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | FDOK

The Golden State Warriors visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 7-2 against the spread, while the Thunder are 7-2 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+6.5 -115O 227.5 -110+200
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 -105U 227.5 -110-250

Thunder vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Sunday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Thunder.

Thunder vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 away games (+18.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+17.89 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 34 away games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 60 games (+10.58 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 44 games at home (+25.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+16.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 53 of their last 92 games (+11.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 92 games (+10.27 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 7-2 (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • 7-2 against the Moneyline (+4.1 Units / 19.95% ROI)
  • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 7-2 (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • 8-1 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 13.58% ROI)
  • 4-5 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 5-4 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-19.08 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 61 games (-15.98 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 65 games (-14.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 71 games (-14.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.62 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 62 games (-16.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-15.63 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 83 games (-13.75 Units / -14% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 28-15 (.651) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors were 29-10 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 26-3 (.897) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633

The Thunder are 16-3 (.842) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Thunder vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Nov. 10

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (134 assists/ 46 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.16 points per shot (488 points/420 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Thunder are shooting 39% from three (606/1,540) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,355 rebounds/91 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have allowed an eFG% of 50% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 47% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 40% (319/789) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 40% (139/348) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.