- The Timberwolves are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | FDSN | ESPN
The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 19-20 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 15-22 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | +6.5 -115 | O 215.5 -105 | +200 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -6.5 -105 | U 215.5 -115 | -250 |
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 76.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 away games (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.93 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.52 Units / 12% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 58 of their last 90 games (+21.28 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+9.43 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 19-20 (-3.1 Units / -7.21% ROI).
- 19-20 against the Moneyline (-15.3 Units / -19.84% ROI)
- 16-23 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -21.68% ROI)
- 23-16 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 12.59% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 15-22 (-9.25 Units / -21.54% ROI).
- 21-18 against the Moneyline (-12.55 Units / -12.36% ROI)
- 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI)
- 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-24.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games at home (-24.25 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-21.45 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 48 games at home (-21.30 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (-18.35 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (-24.01 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.90 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.85 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-18.10 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Warriors are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have shot 38% from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA.
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Warriors are 28-18 (.609) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Timberwolves are 3-10 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.
The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves were 17-6 (.739) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (551/776) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have averaged 1.20 points per shot (619 points/515 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Warriors are shooting 42% (776/1,831) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (728 points/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.5 fast break points per game (527 points/39 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (972 assists/ 621 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (588/1,556) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (351 steals/39 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,416 rebounds/39 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
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