Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 6

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 45-43 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 43-42 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+9.69 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 58 games (+26.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 58 games (+20.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 45-43 (-2.4 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 53-37 against the Moneyline (-23.45 Units / -9.28% ROI)
  • 45-45 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 45-45 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-42 (-3.25 Units / -3.39% ROI).

  • 53-34 against the Moneyline (-14.85 Units / -4.61% ROI)
  • 46-41 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 0.94% ROI)
  • 41-46 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -10.03% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games at home (-24.30 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 49 games at home (-22.72 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 97 games (-20.70 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 97 games (-19.52 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 80 games (-50.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 75 games (-31.70 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-22.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Warriors are 19-14 (.576) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Warriors are 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves were 8-2 (.800) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Timberwolves were 14-5 (.737) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Timberwolves are 49-14 (.778) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,024 points/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Warriors had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Warriors are shooting 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.30 points per shot (9,372 points/7,182 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have 771 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (768 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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