Warriors vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -13.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 43-35 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 38-39 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-14.5 -105O 222.5 -115-1100
Portland Trail Blazers +14.5 -115U 222.5 -105+675

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 92.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+15.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-35 (+4.5 Units / 5.18% ROI).

  • 44-35 against the Moneyline (-7.3 Units / -4.22% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.34% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 38-39 (-4.9 Units / -5.64% ROI).

  • 21-58 against the Moneyline (-13.95 Units / -16.69% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Under for game total points (-2.85 Units / -3.28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 31 games (-19.25 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-19.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 92 games (-21.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 70 games (-12.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 36 games (-12.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 91 games (-11.85 Units / -11% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Warriors were 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Warriors are 49-8 (.860) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Trail Blazers are 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Trail Blazers are 14-30 (.318) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Trail Blazers were 18-25 (.419) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Trail Blazers were 14-31 (.311) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsThursday‘s Game, Apr. 11

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,834 assists/ 1,211 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (866 assists/ 603 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,904 rebounds/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,905 rebounds/79 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (548 steals/79 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,571 rebounds/79 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (344 blocks/79 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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